Mark Scheifele vs Steven Stamkos
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 22 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 28-23 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 63.3%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 60.2%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 61.6%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Scheifele
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
28
(51 meetings)
23
28
Scheifele
Stamkos
Last 10: Scheifele 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
7
8
Scheifele
Stamkos
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
9
13
Scheifele
Stamkos
22 total
Neutral Zone
Even
7
7
Scheifele
Stamkos
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,036)
50.4% (9,799)
-4.1%
Power Play
50.2% (2,563)
55.1% (1,725)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
49.7% (825)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,377).
Scheifele shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,597).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Stamkos
Home
48.9% (7,644)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
44.7% (7,554)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Scheifele
Stamkos
P1
48.2%
49.1%
P2
45.6%
52.7%
P3
46.8%
50.9%
OT
42.5%
54.3%
Final 5 min
45.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 15:13 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 03:29 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 1 | 10:07 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 17:49 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 18:01 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 11:48 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 17:15 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 10:30 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 06:59 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 17:30 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 17, 2020 | 2 | 10:19 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 06:53 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |