Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 50.8%). Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 51.2% vs Hertl 50.7% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 65.3%
Defensive zone
Hertl 53.9%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 52.1%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Scheifele
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Scheifele
Hertl
Last 10: Scheifele 2-8 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
0
Scheifele
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
4
Scheifele
Hertl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
5
Scheifele
Hertl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (880)
51.5% (891)
-0.9%
Power Play
58.0% (205)
54.8% (135)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (74)
41.5% (130)
-1.0%
On power play, Scheifele has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Scheifele is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (773).
Scheifele shoots right. Hertl is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Hertl
Home
51.4% (566)
52.6% (544)
Away
51.1% (593)
49.2% (612)
By Period
Scheifele
Hertl
P1
52.1%
49.4%
P2
47.9%
51.7%
P3
54.3%
51.4%
OT
43.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
51.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 11:57 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 10:08 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 10:02 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 00:08 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 09:22 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 06:05 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 12:41 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 07:28 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 03:00 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |