Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 50.6% vs Hertl 52.3% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 62.1%
Defensive zone
Hertl 73.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 60.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Scheifele
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Scheifele
Hertl
Last 9: Scheifele 5-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
1
Scheifele
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Scheifele
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
1
Scheifele
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (649)
51.6% (1,084)
-2.3%
Power Play
55.7% (183)
61.0% (246)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
44.1% (136)
+5.9%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Scheifele is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (630).
Scheifele shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Hertl
Home
52.3% (440)
55.2% (696)
Away
49.0% (408)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Scheifele
Hertl
P1
52.3%
55.4%
P2
50.4%
54.8%
P3
51.4%
48.9%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.7%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 17:17 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 00:16 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 17:58 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 14:11 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 08:13 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 13:38 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 06:28 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 19:58 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |