Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.3% vs Hertl 56.8% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 71.0%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 53.3%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 63.1%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Scheifele
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Scheifele
Hertl
Last 10: Scheifele 2-8 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
4
2
Scheifele
Hertl
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
6
Scheifele
Hertl
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Scheifele
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,045)
57.0% (718)
-8.9%
Power Play
48.6% (181)
64.9% (188)
-16.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
44.2% (77)
+0.2%
On power play, Hertl has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Scheifele is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Scheifele shoots right. Hertl is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Hertl
Home
52.7% (630)
59.2% (463)
Away
43.5% (623)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Scheifele
Hertl
P1
50.3%
56.3%
P2
46.8%
55.4%
P3
47.5%
60.5%
OT
36.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 05:19 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 10:48 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 13:59 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 03:59 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 03:54 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 19:03 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 09:07 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 02:38 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |