Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.1% vs Hertl 54.5% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 68.7%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 81.0%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 74.9%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Scheifele
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Scheifele
Hertl
Last 10: Scheifele 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
2
Scheifele
Hertl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
7
Scheifele
Hertl
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Scheifele
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (960)
54.1% (1,117)
-6.3%
Power Play
47.0% (219)
59.8% (296)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
60.7% (28)
34.4% (32)
+26.3%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Scheifele is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Scheifele shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Hertl
Home
50.7% (611)
54.3% (709)
Away
45.1% (596)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Scheifele
Hertl
P1
51.4%
51.6%
P2
47.3%
53.6%
P3
45.0%
58.6%
OT
53.8%
45.5%
Final 5 min
44.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 13:42 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 10:40 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 11:56 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 6, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 11:02 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 08:21 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 06:55 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 14:13 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 01:07 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |