Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Scheifele wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 43.9% vs Seguin 50.9% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 67.2%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 78.3%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 69.7%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Scheifele
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Scheifele
Seguin
Last 10: Scheifele 2-8 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
4
Scheifele
Seguin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
3
Scheifele
Seguin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
4
Scheifele
Seguin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (1,136)
51.1% (720)
-7.2%
Power Play
43.0% (237)
54.2% (59)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (88)
14.3% (7)
+24.3%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Scheifele is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Scheifele shoots right. Seguin is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Seguin
Home
45.3% (739)
52.0% (421)
Away
41.6% (722)
49.9% (365)
By Period
Scheifele
Seguin
P1
45.6%
50.8%
P2
42.6%
51.3%
P3
42.8%
51.0%
OT
26.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
43.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2017 | 3 | 10:42 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 17:58 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 07:32 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 19:26 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 00:20 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 16:12 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 04:54 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 00:15 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 11:24 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 08:43 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 18:16 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |