Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Scheifele wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 49.5% vs Seguin 51.8% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 70.5%
Defensive zone
Seguin 57.8%
Neutral zone
Seguin 50.5%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Scheifele
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Scheifele
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Scheifele
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (981)
54.8% (135)
-6.1%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
58.3% (24)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
26.7% (15)
+16.5%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Scheifele is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Scheifele shoots right. Seguin is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Seguin
Home
50.0% (672)
47.4% (95)
Away
48.8% (596)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Scheifele
Seguin
P1
51.4%
50.8%
P2
45.1%
57.1%
P3
51.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
49.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 18:18 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |