Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.1% vs Seguin 54.2% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 70.3%
Defensive zone
Seguin 91.5%
Neutral zone
Seguin 73.8%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 75.9%
24.1%
75.9%
Scheifele
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
5
(17 meetings)
12
5
Scheifele
Seguin
Last 10: Scheifele 7-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
2
Scheifele
Seguin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
1
Scheifele
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
7
2
Scheifele
Seguin
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (960)
55.0% (713)
-7.2%
Power Play
47.0% (219)
56.7% (104)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
60.7% (28)
47.2% (53)
+13.5%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Scheifele shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Seguin
Home
50.7% (611)
56.2% (443)
Away
45.1% (596)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Scheifele
Seguin
P1
51.4%
54.2%
P2
47.3%
52.9%
P3
45.0%
57.1%
OT
53.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 04:36 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 02:03 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 15:58 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 03:06 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 05:30 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 08:12 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:56 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 17:56 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 05:24 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |