Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.3% vs Seguin 55.4% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 70.9%
Defensive zone
Seguin 63.3%
Neutral zone
Seguin 51.3%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Scheifele
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Scheifele
Seguin
Last 9: Scheifele 4-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
4
Scheifele
Seguin
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,045)
56.9% (478)
-8.8%
Power Play
48.6% (181)
57.4% (54)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
51.3% (76)
-6.9%
On even strength, Seguin has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Scheifele is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Scheifele shoots right. Seguin is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Seguin
Home
52.7% (630)
57.4% (317)
Away
43.5% (623)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Scheifele
Seguin
P1
50.3%
50.3%
P2
46.8%
60.4%
P3
47.5%
58.0%
OT
36.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.3%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 02:22 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 08:40 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 01:27 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 10:40 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 04:10 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |