Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Scheifele wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Seguin 52.5% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 72.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 65.7%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 54.9%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Scheifele
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Scheifele
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Scheifele
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (878)
53.2% (201)
-6.7%
Power Play
48.3% (174)
60.0% (25)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
44.4% (9)
+5.6%
On power play, Seguin has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Scheifele is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Scheifele shoots right. Seguin is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Seguin
Home
46.2% (571)
56.3% (126)
Away
47.7% (535)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Scheifele
Seguin
P1
51.9%
44.3%
P2
45.6%
52.1%
P3
43.9%
62.5%
OT
27.3%
80.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:20 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |