Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 50.6% vs Sturm 57.1% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 75.0%
Defensive zone
Sturm 70.2%
Neutral zone
Sturm 51.6%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
McTavish
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McTavish
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McTavish
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (769)
62.1% (356)
-11.0%
Power Play
50.6% (178)
75.0% (4)
-24.4%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
38.7% (62)
-10.1%
On power play, Sturm has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
McTavish shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
McTavish
Sturm
Home
52.3% (461)
61.8% (191)
Away
49.2% (500)
56.3% (231)
By Period
McTavish
Sturm
P1
51.5%
58.0%
P2
54.0%
57.9%
P3
47.1%
60.6%
Final 5 min
51.1%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:35 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 15:33 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |