Scouting Report
Parker Kelly holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. McTavish wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 43.3% vs Kelly 49.5% (-3.2%)
Offensive zone
Kelly 54.6%
Defensive zone
McTavish 70.9%
Neutral zone
McTavish 54.8%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
McTavish
Kelly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (675)
50.0% (6)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
40.0% (5)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, McTavish has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. McTavish is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (441).
McTavish shoots left. Kelly is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Home / Away
McTavish
Kelly
Home
41.9% (372)
60.0% (5)
Away
42.8% (353)
33.3% (6)
By Period
McTavish
Kelly
P1
47.2%
33.3%
P2
36.2%
40.0%
P3
43.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.2%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
45.5%