Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +27.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 51.5% vs Kelly 41.8% (+27.8%)
Offensive zone
McTavish 51.8%
Defensive zone
McTavish 60.9%
Neutral zone
McTavish 52.2%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
McTavish
Kelly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (725)
22.9% (35)
+28.4%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
27.3% (11)
+1.3%
On even strength, McTavish has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. McTavish is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (580).
McTavish shoots left. Kelly is 17.2% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Home / Away
McTavish
Kelly
Home
52.0% (454)
23.8% (21)
Away
51.4% (391)
24.0% (25)
By Period
McTavish
Kelly
P1
51.3%
22.2%
P2
50.4%
23.5%
P3
53.3%
27.3%
Final 5 min
55.7%
20.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
23.9%