Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. McTavish wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 43.3% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-7.3%)
Offensive zone
McTavish 71.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 78.5%
Neutral zone
McTavish 50.5%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
McTavish
Kuraly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (675)
49.2% (901)
-6.8%
Power Play
40.5% (42)
68.2% (22)
-27.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
49.8% (219)
+0.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McTavish is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (441).
McTavish shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
McTavish
Kuraly
Home
41.9% (372)
51.7% (603)
Away
42.8% (353)
47.3% (539)
By Period
McTavish
Kuraly
P1
47.2%
50.9%
P2
36.2%
49.5%
P3
43.6%
49.1%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%