Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 50.6% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 71.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 71.4%
Neutral zone
McTavish 52.1%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
McTavish
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McTavish
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
McTavish
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (769)
55.3% (515)
-4.2%
Power Play
50.6% (178)
55.6% (9)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
44.8% (58)
-16.2%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
McTavish shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
McTavish
Kuraly
Home
52.3% (461)
57.3% (293)
Away
49.2% (500)
51.2% (289)
By Period
McTavish
Kuraly
P1
51.5%
53.8%
P2
54.0%
51.5%
P3
47.1%
57.6%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 09:25 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |