Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 50.0% vs Kuraly 49.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
McTavish
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
McTavish
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
McTavish
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (532)
50.8% (370)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
44.1% (127)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McTavish is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (403).
McTavish shoots left. Kuraly is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
McTavish
Kuraly
Home
54.8% (303)
52.8% (269)
Away
45.5% (323)
44.7% (228)
By Period
McTavish
Kuraly
P1
51.5%
53.2%
P2
49.5%
45.8%
P3
49.3%
47.9%
Final 5 min
47.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.0%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |