Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.0% vs Kuraly 50.1% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 83.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 74.2%
Neutral zone
McTavish 55.9%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
McTavish
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
McTavish
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
McTavish
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (616)
51.8% (444)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
45.3% (150)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McTavish is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
McTavish shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
McTavish
Kuraly
Home
52.2% (389)
54.6% (304)
Away
45.1% (335)
45.5% (290)
By Period
McTavish
Kuraly
P1
50.0%
55.2%
P2
47.9%
45.7%
P3
49.0%
49.5%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |