Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 51.5% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 78.2%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 73.0%
Neutral zone
McTavish 68.2%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
McTavish
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McTavish
Kuraly
Last 6: McTavish 4-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
0
McTavish
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
McTavish
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (725)
49.4% (445)
+1.9%
Power Play
55.8% (113)
100.0% (3)
-44.2%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
41.9% (117)
-13.3%
On power play, Kuraly has a +44.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McTavish is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (580).
McTavish shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
McTavish
Kuraly
Home
52.0% (454)
49.2% (248)
Away
51.4% (391)
47.3% (317)
By Period
McTavish
Kuraly
P1
51.3%
48.3%
P2
50.4%
44.7%
P3
53.3%
51.7%
Final 5 min
55.7%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 08:54 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 01:54 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |