Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Barzal 42.8% (+14.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 78.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 91.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 90.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 88.7%
88.7%
11.3%
Staal
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Staal
Barzal
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
0
Staal
Barzal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
2
Staal
Barzal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (750)
41.9% (516)
+14.8%
Power Play
62.5% (120)
40.0% (60)
+22.5%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (153)
25.0% (4)
+21.4%
On power play, Staal has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Staal shoots left. Barzal is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Staal
Barzal
Home
58.8% (522)
46.9% (303)
Away
52.7% (501)
35.7% (277)
By Period
Staal
Barzal
P1
60.8%
39.9%
P2
55.9%
45.1%
P3
51.7%
39.9%
OT
46.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.5%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.8%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2018 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 11:45 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 3 | 15:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 16:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 05:28 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 4, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 11:21 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |