Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 26.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 39.3% vs Dowd 50.7% (-15.2%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 93.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 84.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 60.7%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Barzal
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (283)
55.2% (625)
-20.2%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
57.1% (7)
-1.5%
On even strength, Dowd has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Barzal is 26.8% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Barzal shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Barzal
Dowd
Home
37.0% (138)
53.7% (445)
Away
34.4% (154)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Barzal
Dowd
P1
29.5%
48.8%
P2
44.5%
49.3%
P3
31.8%
54.0%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
39.1%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%