Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 47.4% vs Dowd 49.9% (-7.6%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 89.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 77.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.5%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Barzal
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (52)
52.2% (835)
-9.9%
On even strength, Dowd has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Barzal is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (8).
Barzal shoots right. Dowd is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Barzal
Dowd
Home
28.0% (25)
51.5% (619)
Away
55.6% (27)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Barzal
Dowd
P1
47.4%
51.7%
P2
45.8%
51.6%
P3
22.2%
47.0%
Final 5 min
37.5%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%