Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.3% vs 47.2%). Barzal wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.9% vs McLeod 47.7% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 59.3%
Defensive zone
McLeod 59.8%
Neutral zone
McLeod 53.3%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Barzal
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Barzal
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (483)
47.8% (448)
-1.2%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
48.1% (52)
-7.2%
On power play, McLeod has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Barzal shoots right. McLeod is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Barzal
McLeod
Home
49.6% (242)
46.6% (253)
Away
43.3% (263)
47.8% (272)
By Period
Barzal
McLeod
P1
42.4%
43.9%
P2
49.5%
45.9%
P3
47.7%
52.1%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.2%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |