Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.3% vs McLeod 50.7% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 51.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 60.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 51.2%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Barzal
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Barzal
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Barzal
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (114)
51.3% (628)
-8.3%
On even strength, McLeod has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Barzal is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Barzal shoots right. McLeod is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Barzal
McLeod
Home
35.8% (53)
51.5% (394)
Away
49.2% (61)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Barzal
McLeod
P1
44.2%
51.5%
P2
38.5%
47.0%
P3
46.9%
54.3%
Final 5 min
38.1%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.0%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2023 | 3 | 04:21 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 2 | 06:47 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |