Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 47.4% vs McLeod 52.1% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 76.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 70.0%
Neutral zone
Barzal 55.1%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Barzal
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Barzal
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Barzal
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (52)
52.9% (904)
-10.6%
On even strength, McLeod has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Barzal is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Barzal shoots right. McLeod is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Barzal
McLeod
Home
28.0% (25)
51.8% (612)
Away
55.6% (27)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Barzal
McLeod
P1
47.4%
55.4%
P2
45.8%
50.8%
P3
22.2%
51.6%
Final 5 min
37.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.3%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |