Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.9% vs Wilson 47.4% (+4.0%)
Offensive zone
Wilson 52.0%
Defensive zone
Barzal 59.5%
Neutral zone
Barzal 54.9%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Barzal
Wilson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Wilson
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (483)
43.5% (23)
+3.1%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
31.8% (22)
+9.1%
On power play, Barzal has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wilson shoots right. Barzal is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Barzal shoots right. Wilson is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Home / Away
Barzal
Wilson
Home
49.6% (242)
48.0% (25)
Away
43.3% (263)
37.0% (27)
By Period
Barzal
Wilson
P1
42.4%
33.3%
P2
49.5%
64.3%
P3
47.7%
41.7%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.2%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Wilson
40.0%▬
39.0%
42.3%