Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Matthews wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 47.1% vs Duchene 61.5% (-15.8%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 82.9%
Defensive zone
Matthews 63.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 80.3%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Matthews
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
11
(13 meetings)
2
11
Matthews
Duchene
Last 10: Matthews 1-9 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
5
Matthews
Duchene
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
6
Matthews
Duchene
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,000)
62.2% (802)
-16.0%
Power Play
53.6% (125)
67.3% (153)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
59.4% (143)
-45.1%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +45.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Matthews is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (683).
Matthews shoots left. Duchene is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Matthews
Duchene
Home
48.4% (562)
66.5% (555)
Away
45.3% (570)
58.6% (543)
By Period
Matthews
Duchene
P1
51.3%
63.2%
P2
44.5%
59.6%
P3
44.6%
65.0%
OT
55.6%
71.4%
Final 5 min
47.9%
65.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
46.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 02:32 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 16:28 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 10:05 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 16:29 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 13:28 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 11:52 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 05:54 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 05:48 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 03:50 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |