Scouting Report
Barclay Goodrow holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Goodrow wins 60.2% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 56.4% vs Duchene 52.8% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 60.0%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 50.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 63.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Goodrow
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Goodrow
Duchene
Last 5: Goodrow 2-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Goodrow
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Goodrow
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (243)
52.6% (1,112)
+7.1%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
56.0% (193)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
49.0% (49)
-1.9%
On even strength, Goodrow has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Goodrow is 60.2% vs left-shot opponents (161).
Goodrow shoots left. Duchene is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (873).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Duchene
Home
61.2% (147)
55.7% (652)
Away
55.7% (115)
50.4% (702)
By Period
Goodrow
Duchene
P1
61.4%
51.4%
P2
52.8%
53.9%
P3
60.7%
53.3%
Final 5 min
60.0%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
58.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2018 | 3 | 08:41 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 2 | 19:46 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 2 | 02:02 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 1 | 10:05 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 1 | 01:53 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |