Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Duchene 61.5% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 63.3%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 67.4%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 63.0%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Lindholm
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Lindholm
Duchene
Last 5: Lindholm 0-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
3
Lindholm
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Lindholm
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (494)
62.2% (802)
-8.2%
Power Play
66.3% (83)
67.3% (153)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
53.4% (58)
59.4% (143)
-6.0%
On even strength, Duchene has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Lindholm is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Lindholm shoots right. Duchene is 65.4% vs right-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Duchene
Home
60.2% (314)
66.5% (555)
Away
51.1% (321)
58.6% (543)
By Period
Lindholm
Duchene
P1
59.8%
63.2%
P2
53.9%
59.6%
P3
52.7%
65.0%
OT
66.7%
71.4%
Final 5 min
52.6%
65.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 03:27 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 17, 2017 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 17, 2017 | 2 | 09:32 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |