Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 54.4%). Duchene wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs McCarron 53.4% (-0.3%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 87.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 84.4%
Neutral zone
McCarron 57.9%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Duchene
McCarron
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
57.5% (308)
-10.6%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
50.0% (2)
+23.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
32.6% (43)
+67.4%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +67.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Duchene
McCarron
Home
58.4% (125)
48.3% (147)
Away
48.4% (95)
58.7% (206)
By Period
Duchene
McCarron
P1
56.9%
53.4%
P2
52.5%
59.5%
P3
51.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%