Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs McCarron 54.9% (-6.5%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 85.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 79.7%
Neutral zone
Duchene 52.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Duchene
McCarron
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
62.8% (86)
-8.9%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
50.0% (2)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.4% (18)
+55.6%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Duchene is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. McCarron is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Duchene
McCarron
Home
54.9% (113)
59.5% (42)
Away
51.4% (146)
59.4% (64)
By Period
Duchene
McCarron
P1
54.9%
71.0%
P2
52.7%
48.7%
P3
51.9%
61.1%
Final 5 min
60.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.4%