Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Granlund 47.4% (+6.9%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 80.0%
Defensive zone
Granlund 82.5%
Neutral zone
Granlund 55.2%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Duchene
Granlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
47.7% (1,001)
-0.8%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
53.4% (73)
+19.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
40.2% (132)
+59.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +59.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Duchene shoots left. Granlund is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (738).
Home / Away
Duchene
Granlund
Home
58.4% (125)
45.9% (582)
Away
48.4% (95)
48.4% (624)
By Period
Duchene
Granlund
P1
56.9%
48.6%
P2
52.5%
46.7%
P3
51.9%
46.9%
OT
80.0%
31.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.2%