Matt Duchene vs Mikael Granlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 20 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Granlund 48.5% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 34-21 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 90.4%
Defensive zone
Duchene 76.0%
Neutral zone
Duchene 88.9%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Duchene
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
21
(55 meetings)
34
21
Duchene
Granlund
Last 10: Duchene 5-5 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
5
10
Duchene
Granlund
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
15
5
Duchene
Granlund
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
14
6
Duchene
Granlund
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
48.5% (6,718)
+5.4%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
52.7% (748)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
43.6% (635)
+5.5%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Duchene shoots left. Granlund is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,142).
Home / Away
Duchene
Granlund
Home
55.6% (6,411)
50.8% (3,884)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
46.3% (4,217)
By Period
Duchene
Granlund
P1
54.5%
48.7%
P2
54.5%
48.7%
P3
53.4%
48.2%
OT
56.3%
44.1%
Final 5 min
53.7%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 14:11 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 15, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 12:03 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 08:13 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 06:20 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 12:04 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 04:13 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 15:13 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 3 | 04:10 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 2 | 19:22 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |