Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Granlund 49.6% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 60.6%
Defensive zone
Granlund 61.8%
Neutral zone
Duchene 51.2%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Duchene
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Duchene
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Duchene
Granlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Duchene
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
49.5% (588)
+3.5%
Power Play
49.5% (101)
60.5% (43)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
45.2% (93)
-1.4%
On power play, Granlund has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Duchene shoots left. Granlund is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Duchene
Granlund
Home
54.9% (408)
54.8% (305)
Away
50.0% (432)
45.8% (419)
By Period
Duchene
Granlund
P1
52.5%
43.8%
P2
51.7%
51.2%
P3
53.6%
53.9%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 12:03 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 08:13 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 06:20 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |