Matt Duchene vs Morgan Frost

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Morgan Frost holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Duchene 51.0% vs Frost 54.9% (-4.0%)
Offensive zone Frost 65.2%
Defensive zone Duchene 67.4%
Neutral zone Frost 53.6%
Result Morgan Frost favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Duchene Frost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Duchene
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (177)
54.1% (521)
-2.7%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
59.6% (141)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
100.0% (5)
-80.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +80.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Frost shoots left. Duchene is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Duchene shoots left. Frost is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (458).
Home / Away
Duchene
Frost
Home
48.8% (41)
57.2% (339)
Away
52.3% (149)
54.0% (328)
By Period
Duchene
Frost
P1
47.6%
58.2%
P2
62.3%
55.6%
P3
46.2%
52.9%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
52.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
52.0%
49.5%
51.6%
Frost
74.0%
55.0%
55.6%