Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Frost 48.7% (+5.7%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 78.0%
Defensive zone
Frost 77.8%
Neutral zone
Frost 57.4%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Duchene
Frost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
47.4% (426)
-0.5%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
63.9% (36)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
20.0% (5)
+80.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +80.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Duchene shoots left. Frost is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Duchene
Frost
Home
58.4% (125)
51.1% (221)
Away
48.4% (95)
45.9% (246)
By Period
Duchene
Frost
P1
56.9%
47.5%
P2
52.5%
52.3%
P3
51.9%
44.7%
OT
80.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%