Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.6% vs Frost 49.5% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 59.3%
Defensive zone
Duchene 62.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 62.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Duchene
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Duchene
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (566)
48.6% (704)
+7.9%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
55.7% (115)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
25.0% (4)
-2.8%
On even strength, Duchene has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Duchene shoots left. Frost is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Duchene
Frost
Home
56.6% (318)
49.9% (399)
Away
56.4% (319)
49.1% (424)
By Period
Duchene
Frost
P1
57.2%
51.2%
P2
55.1%
53.9%
P3
55.6%
42.7%
OT
81.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |