Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 53.7%). Duchene wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Dowd 53.3% (+0.4%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 90.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 90.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 60.6%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Duchene
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
55.4% (771)
-8.5%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
57.1% (7)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
45.5% (165)
+54.5%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Duchene
Dowd
Home
58.4% (125)
58.2% (462)
Away
48.4% (95)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Duchene
Dowd
P1
56.9%
55.6%
P2
52.5%
50.5%
P3
51.9%
53.9%
OT
80.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%