Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Zacha 44.6% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 87.1%
Defensive zone
Duchene 79.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 88.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 86.2%
86.2%
13.8%
Duchene
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Duchene
Zacha
Last 6: Duchene 5-1 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
1
Duchene
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,112)
43.9% (643)
+8.7%
Power Play
56.0% (193)
48.9% (45)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (49)
37.8% (37)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Duchene is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (873).
Duchene shoots left. Zacha is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Duchene
Zacha
Home
55.7% (652)
44.6% (397)
Away
50.4% (702)
43.0% (328)
By Period
Duchene
Zacha
P1
51.4%
43.5%
P2
53.9%
44.6%
P3
53.3%
43.8%
OT
55.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.0%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 05:12 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 15:52 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 08:53 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 08:31 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 17:44 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |