Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 53.2%). Duchene wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Zacha 52.8% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 53.8%
Defensive zone
Duchene 60.1%
Neutral zone
Zacha 52.5%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Duchene
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Duchene
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Duchene
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
54.1% (534)
-1.1%
Power Play
49.5% (101)
56.0% (109)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
44.8% (96)
-1.0%
On power play, Zacha has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Duchene shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Duchene
Zacha
Home
54.9% (408)
53.4% (406)
Away
50.0% (432)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Duchene
Zacha
P1
52.5%
56.8%
P2
51.7%
53.6%
P3
53.6%
49.2%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |