Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.6% vs Zacha 54.4% (+1.7%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 58.5%
Defensive zone
Zacha 53.4%
Neutral zone
Duchene 52.2%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Duchene
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (566)
53.9% (787)
+2.6%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
63.2% (193)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
44.3% (88)
-22.1%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Duchene shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Duchene
Zacha
Home
56.6% (318)
56.7% (538)
Away
56.4% (319)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Duchene
Zacha
P1
57.2%
52.6%
P2
55.1%
54.8%
P3
55.6%
56.8%
OT
81.3%
59.1%
Final 5 min
47.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%