Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Zacha 46.5% (+7.6%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 65.4%
Defensive zone
Zacha 68.8%
Neutral zone
Zacha 50.4%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Duchene
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
45.3% (247)
+8.6%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
58.1% (31)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
22.2% (18)
+77.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +77.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Duchene shoots left. Zacha is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Duchene
Zacha
Home
54.9% (113)
39.7% (131)
Away
51.4% (146)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Duchene
Zacha
P1
54.9%
42.9%
P2
52.7%
46.4%
P3
51.9%
42.3%
OT
50.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
60.6%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%