Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Zacha 50.1% (+4.0%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 74.5%
Defensive zone
Zacha 72.9%
Neutral zone
Zacha 55.2%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Duchene
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
48.0% (296)
-1.1%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
61.0% (59)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
50.0% (22)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Duchene shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Home / Away
Duchene
Zacha
Home
58.4% (125)
48.9% (223)
Away
48.4% (95)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Duchene
Zacha
P1
56.9%
47.9%
P2
52.5%
48.3%
P3
51.9%
54.3%
OT
80.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.8%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%