Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Rakell 48.0% (+8.5%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 59.7%
Defensive zone
Rakell 51.9%
Neutral zone
Rakell 54.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Duchene
Rakell
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
45.3% (75)
+1.6%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
50.0% (4)
+23.2%
On power play, Duchene has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Rakell is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
Duchene
Rakell
Home
58.4% (125)
45.7% (46)
Away
48.4% (95)
45.5% (33)
By Period
Duchene
Rakell
P1
56.9%
33.3%
P2
52.5%
40.0%
P3
51.9%
63.6%
OT
80.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
45.6%