Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Duchene wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Rakell 44.9% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 66.8%
Defensive zone
Duchene 77.4%
Neutral zone
Duchene 68.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Duchene
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Duchene
Rakell
Last 10: Duchene 4-6 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
1
6
Duchene
Rakell
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
7
0
Duchene
Rakell
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Duchene
Rakell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
44.4% (1,864)
+9.5%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
50.3% (197)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
21.7% (23)
+27.4%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,494).
Duchene shoots left. Rakell is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,334).
Home / Away
Duchene
Rakell
Home
55.6% (6,411)
46.7% (1,041)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
42.7% (1,044)
By Period
Duchene
Rakell
P1
54.5%
45.6%
P2
54.5%
42.1%
P3
53.4%
46.4%
OT
56.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2017 | 3 | 16:23 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 3 | 04:04 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 12:30 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 02:38 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 11:03 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 08:24 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 03:28 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 00:48 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 20, 2015 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 20, 2015 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |