Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.6% vs Rakell 41.7% (+15.9%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 52.9%
Defensive zone
Duchene 57.7%
Neutral zone
Rakell 55.0%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Duchene
Rakell
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (324)
36.8% (114)
+14.4%
Power Play
60.4% (53)
42.3% (26)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
0.0% (7)
+16.7%
On power play, Duchene has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Duchene is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Duchene shoots left. Rakell is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (90).
Home / Away
Duchene
Rakell
Home
51.6% (182)
41.2% (68)
Away
52.2% (201)
31.6% (79)
By Period
Duchene
Rakell
P1
49.6%
34.5%
P2
56.2%
38.5%
P3
48.6%
33.3%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
36.1%