Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Rakell 49.6% (+5.3%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 73.3%
Defensive zone
Rakell 64.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 53.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Duchene
Rakell
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
37.5% (16)
+16.4%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
80.0% (5)
-30.8%
On power play, Rakell has a +30.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Duchene is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Rakell is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
Duchene
Rakell
Home
54.9% (113)
66.7% (9)
Away
51.4% (146)
33.3% (12)
By Period
Duchene
Rakell
P1
54.9%
75.0%
P2
52.7%
42.9%
P3
51.9%
16.7%
Final 5 min
60.6%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
47.6%