Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Rakell 47.6% (+10.2%)
Offensive zone
Rakell 52.4%
Defensive zone
Duchene 61.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 55.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Duchene
Rakell
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
41.5% (41)
+11.5%
Power Play
49.5% (101)
66.7% (3)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
0.0% (1)
+43.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +43.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Duchene is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Duchene shoots left. Rakell is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (16).
Home / Away
Duchene
Rakell
Home
54.9% (408)
40.0% (15)
Away
50.0% (432)
43.3% (30)
By Period
Duchene
Rakell
P1
52.5%
40.0%
P2
51.7%
37.5%
P3
53.6%
47.4%
Final 5 min
53.3%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
42.2%