Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 85.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 77.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 50.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 77.6%
22.4%
77.6%
Duchene
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Duchene
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Duchene
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
56.6% (1,064)
-9.7%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
60.4% (260)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
54.0% (261)
+46.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +46.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Duchene shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Duchene
O'Reilly
Home
58.4% (125)
54.9% (801)
Away
48.4% (95)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Duchene
O'Reilly
P1
56.9%
58.0%
P2
52.5%
56.7%
P3
51.9%
55.4%
OT
80.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 19:15 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |