Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-2.9%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 81.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 83.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 51.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Duchene
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
56.1% (690)
-2.2%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
64.6% (96)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
45.9% (109)
+54.1%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +54.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Duchene shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Duchene
O'Reilly
Home
54.9% (113)
58.3% (408)
Away
51.4% (146)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Duchene
O'Reilly
P1
54.9%
57.7%
P2
52.7%
54.8%
P3
51.9%
55.2%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
60.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%