Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Duchene wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Strome 44.4% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 87.1%
Defensive zone
Strome 55.7%
Neutral zone
Duchene 65.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Duchene
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Duchene
Strome
Last 6: Duchene 4-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
1
Duchene
Strome
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Duchene
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
43.0% (788)
+10.9%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
47.9% (96)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (34)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Duchene is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Strome is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
Duchene
Strome
Home
54.9% (113)
42.6% (486)
Away
51.4% (146)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Duchene
Strome
P1
54.9%
41.0%
P2
52.7%
47.8%
P3
51.9%
42.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.6%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 13:55 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 11:33 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 29, 2022 | OT | 00:46 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 17:48 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |