Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.6% vs Strome 45.2% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 87.3%
Defensive zone
Duchene 67.8%
Neutral zone
Duchene 73.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Duchene
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Duchene
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (324)
44.2% (267)
+7.0%
Power Play
60.4% (53)
37.0% (27)
+23.4%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
50.0% (4)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Duchene is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Duchene shoots left. Strome is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Duchene
Strome
Home
51.6% (182)
42.0% (157)
Away
52.2% (201)
45.4% (141)
By Period
Duchene
Strome
P1
49.6%
40.0%
P2
56.2%
46.4%
P3
48.6%
44.0%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 09:43 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |